2015 Full Year Results

2015 revenue of $1.6 billion and pre-tax operating cash flow of $1.0 billion

TEN Project over 85% complete and on track for first oil between July and August 2016

Action being taken to reduce 1.1 billion 2016 capex; Ability to reduce to $0.3 billion from 2017 

COMMENTING TODAY, AIDAN HEAVEY, CHIEF EXECUTIVE, SAID:

“Today’s results demonstrate that Tullow adjusted well to low oil prices in 2015. We secured current and future cash flow through good operational delivery in West Africa, continued to build our resource base in East Africa, significantly cut costs across the Group and benefitted from our strong hedging position. Our challenge in 2016 is to be equally robust in responding to the uncertainties that remain in the sector. In the year ahead, we have three key priorities: ensuring continued low cost production from West Africa - including the start-up of production from TEN between July and August 2016; driving further reductions in operating costs and capital expenditure; and focusing on deleveraging the balance sheet through free cash flow generation and strategic portfolio management. As we look ahead, we have a portfolio of world class, low cost oil assets which will produce around 100,000 bopd in 2017 and  a major position in one of the world’s newest, low cost, oil provinces in East Africa, both enabling us to create substantial value.”

READ THE FULL STATEMENT HERE

2015 FULL YEAR RESULTS SUMMARY

• Revenues down 27% on previous year; write-offs and impairment charges also impacted by the oil price decline, resulting in a loss after tax of $1.0 billion. Strong operating cash flow generation of $1.0 billion from stable production.
• Year-end 2015 net debt of $4.0 billion with significant facility headroom and free cash of $1.9 billion. RBL and RCF capacity increased by $450 million in March 2015; banking discussions with regard to March 2016 re-determination have begun.
• Mark-to-market value of oil hedges at 31 January 2016 of $668 million with 52% of 2016 entitlement oil production hedged at average floor price of around $75/bbl on a pre-tax basis (64% hedged on a post-tax basis); material 2017 hedging in place.
• Major Simplification Project completed resulting in improved organisational structure, efficient processes and reduced headcount of 37%; on track to deliver cash savings of around $500 million over three year period;
• Low cost per barrel oil production at Jubilee and the West Africa non-operated portfolio with 2015 opex at $10.0/bbl and $15.0/bbl respectively; cost savings and synergies from Jubilee and TEN in Ghana to achieve around $8/bbl opex in 2018.
• 2015 capex of $1.7 billion; $1.1 billion forecast for 2016 with work ongoing to potentially reduce to $0.9 billion; ability to reduce Group annual capex to c.$0.3 billion from 2017 onwards if the low oil price persists.
• West Africa working interest oil production averaged 66,600 bopd in 2015; production guidance in 2016 for the region is 73-80,000 bopd. TEN Project over 85% complete and on track and on budget for first oil between July and August 2016.
• Successful Kenya appraisal programme underpins estimated gross recoverable resource guidance of 600mmbo.

Financial Overview

2015 Full Year Results Overview

Group performance

Tullow’s 2015 financial results delivered solid revenue and pre-tax operating cash flow of $1.6 billion and $1.0 billion respectively, down on 2014, reflecting the significant fall in commodity prices over the year. Revenues and cash flow were supported by our significant hedging programme. The Group reported a loss after tax of $1.0 billion following write-downs exacerbated by lower oil prices. These included an exploration pre-tax write-off totalling $749 million, a pre-tax impairment charge of $406 million and an onerous service contract charge of $186 million as a result of much lower levels of exploration and appraisal drilling activity planned for the first half of 2016. Further details are provided in the Finance Review.

Responding to the lower oil price

A focus on lower capex, cost savings and improved efficiency has positively benefited the cash flows of the business. The Major Simplification Project commenced at the end of 2014, was completed in 2015, and is on track to deliver cash savings of $0.5 billion over three years. Capex reduced from $2.2 billion in 2014 to $1.7 billion in 2015 and is forecast at $1.1 billion for 2016 with work ongoing to potentially reduce this to around $0.9 billion. The 2016 capex programme comprises $0.6 billion for the TEN project, c.75% of which is to be invested in the first half of 2016 and $0.4 billion for other production and development activities. Exploration will continue to be a key part of Tullow’s long-term growth strategy, however, given sustained low oil prices, capex will be around $0.1 billion in 2016. It will focus on seismic surveying, processing and interpretation, high-grading and progressing leads to drill worthy prospects and seeking low cost and highly prospective acreage in core areas to ensure that the business maintains its industry-leading exploration portfolio. As we look forward, with the capital intensive period of the TEN project behind us, the Group could, if market conditions do not improve, reduce capex to around $0.3 billion for 2017 onwards due to considerable flexibility around the timing of incremental investments.

Balance sheet and funding strategy

Tullow benefits from a diversified debt capital structure and during 2015, Tullow increased the capacity of its RBL and Corporate Facilities by $450 million. As of 31 December 2015, the Group had net debt of $4.0 billion, with facility headroom and free cash of $1.9 billion. The Group has benefited significantly from its hedging programme which contributed some $365 million, net of premiums, to the revenue of the business in 2015. The hedging programme will continue to provide future cash flow benefits and the mark-to-market value of the hedges at the end of January 2016 was $668 million. Dialogue with Tullow’s syndicate of lending banks has commenced as we prepare for the redetermination of the Group’s RBL in March. In October 2016, the RBL will begin to amortise and the Group expects to refinance the facility ahead of further scheduled amortisations in 2017. In addition, the Group will negotiate to extend the three year Revolving Corporate Facility ahead of April 2017. Delivery of these actions, along with reduced committed capital expenditure, further cost savings, cash flow generation and strategic portfolio management will strengthen and de-lever the balance sheet.

Strong West Africa production performance

In 2015, production across the Group was in line with expectations. West Africa working interest oil production averaged 66,600 bopd. In Europe, gas production averaged 6,800 boepd. Average working interest production guidance for 2016 from West Africa and Europe is 73,000-80,000 bopd and 5,000-7,000 boepd respectively. This includes production in the second half of 2016 from the TEN development as it gradually ramps up following first oil. In 2015, Tullow’s operating costs per barrel in West Africa remained low averaging $10.0/bbl for Jubilee and $15.0 bbl across the West Africa non-operated portfolio. Tullow continues to focus on improving efficiencies and operating costs across its West Africa asset base and is working to maximise Jubilee and TEN operational synergies in Ghana where combined operating costs are expected to reduce to c.$8/bbl in 2018.

Major development projects

The TEN project in Ghana remains on track for first oil between July and August 2016. The project is over 85% complete, with many major milestones achieved including the sailaway of the FPSO from Singapore on 23 January 2016. The Greater Jubilee Full Field Development (GJFFD) Plan was submitted to the Government of Ghana in December. The plan, which intends to extend production and increase commercial reserves, has been redesigned given the current environment to reduce the overall capital requirement and allow flexibility in the timing of the investment. In East Africa, a draft Field Development Plan was submitted to the Government of Kenya in December 2015 and this will inform discussions as Tullow and its Partners progress towards potential FID of both the Kenya and Uganda upstream development projects.

Board changes, AGM and dividend

At the end of 2015, Graham Martin retired as Company Secretary and will step down as Executive Director at the AGM. Tullow’s AGM will take place on 28 April 2016 at 12pm at Tullow Oil plc, Building 9 Chiswick Park, 566 Chiswick High Road, London, W4 5XT. In view of current capital allocation priorities, the Board is again recommending that no dividend is paid. At a time when Tullow is focusing on financial flexibility and cost reductions, the Board believes that Tullow and its shareholders are better served by retaining these funds in the business.